Zeyu (Steven) Zhang

Backtesting large language models on historical events requires reasoning exclusively from information available before a specified cutoff date. Yet models routinely leak post-cutoff knowledge from pre-training into their reasoning, inflating apparent accuracy and undermining evaluation validity. Prompt-based constraints fail when suppressed content is causally related to the prediction, and knowledge unlearning cannot address this problem because temporal compliance is instance-specific: the same fact may be legitimate evidence for one cutoff date and a violation for another. Rather than erasing knowledge, the model must learn temporal discipline: selecting evidence conditioned on each instance’s cutoff date. We propose TEMPO (Temporal Enforcement via Mode-separated Policy Optimization), which trains this discipline via two contributions: (1) a two-mode reward where a leakage mode drives post-cutoff claims to zero as a hard prerequisite before a performance mode optimizes task performance; and (2) a GRPO-based training pipeline that enables the model to discover temporally valid reasoning strategies. We prove that training monotonically decreases leakage, converges to the leak-free optimum, and improves task performance once compliance is achieved. On three prediction tasks and two models, TEMPO reduces leakage from 2–13% to 0.6–3.7% across all conditions, with task performance improving 6–13% where strong pre-cutoff signals exist and maintained where the prediction task is inherently difficult from valid information alone.

Backtesting LLMs on resolved events assumes models reason only from pre-cutoff knowledge, yet pretrained models inevitably leak post-cutoff knowledge. We introduce a claim-level evaluation framework that decomposes prediction rationales into atomic claims and applies Shapley values to quantify each claim’s decision impact, yielding Shapley-DCLR (Shapley-weighted Decision-Critical Leakage Rate) – an interpretable metric measuring what fraction of decision-driving reasoning is contaminated. We further propose TimeSPEC (Time-Supervised Prediction with Extracted Claims), an inference-time architecture that interleaves temporally-filtered retrieval with claim-level supervision, producing predictions grounded entirely in pre-cutoff evidence. Across three LLMs, the ablation experiments confirm retrieval and supervision are jointly necessary; and a three-task probe further illstrates that the performance cost of temporal enforcement scales with each task’s reliance on post-cutoff information.

We introduce LAMP (Local Attribution Mapping Probe), a method that shines light onto a black-box language model’s decision surface and studies how reliably a model maps its stated reasons to its reported predictions by approximating a decision surface. LAMP treats the model’s own self-reported explanations as a coordinate system and fits a locally linear surrogate that links those weights to the model’s output. By doing so, it reveals how much the stated factors steer the model’s decisions. We apply LAMP to three tasks: sentiment analysis, controversial-topic detection, and safety-prompt auditing. Across these tasks, LAMP reveals that many language models’ locally approximated linear decision landscapes overall agree with human judgments on explanation quality and, on a clinical case-file data set, align with expert assessments. Since LAMP operates without requiring access to model gradients, logits, or internal activations, it serves as a practical and lightweight framework for auditing proprietary language models, and enabling assessment of whether a model appears to behave consistently with the explanations it provides.

Off-policy Learning to Rank (LTR) aims to optimize a ranker from data collected by a deployed logging policy. However, existing off-policy learning to rank methods often make strong assumptions about how users generate the click data, i.e., the click model, and hence need to tailor their methods specifically under different click models. In this paper, we unified the ranking process under general stochastic click models as a Markov Decision Process (MDP), and the optimal ranking could be learned with offline reinforcement learning (RL) directly. Building upon this, we leverage offline RL techniques for off-policy LTR and propose the Click Model-Agnostic Unified Off-policy Learning to Rank (CUOLR) method, which could be easily applied to a wide range of click models. Through a dedicated formulation of the MDP, we show that offline RL algorithms can adapt to various click models without complex debiasing techniques and prior knowledge of the model. Results on various large-scale datasets demonstrate that CUOLR consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art off-policy learning to rank algorithms while maintaining consistency and robustness under different click models.